Russias military leadership, with Gen. Valery Gerasimov at the top, is far too centralized; lieutenants must ask him for permission even on small matters, said the officials, who spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss operational matters. MCFATE: Sure. [8]Putin also emphasized that the FSBs primary purpose is to support the Russian Armed Forces and Rosgvardia in their efforts to accomplish the objectives of the special military operation and noted the FSBs role in preventing incursions of Ukrainian sabotage groups onto Russian territory. https://twitter.com/EliotHiggins/status/1630535360735334400;https://tw https://twitter.com/GianlucaMezzo/status/1630577307260690435?s=20, https://twitter.com/DefenceHQ/status/1630453726304518144, Donetsk Battle Map Draft February 28, 2023.png, Kharkiv Battle Map Draft February 28, 2023.png, Zaporizhia Battle Map Draft February 28, 2023.png, Kherson-Mykolaiv Battle Map Draft February 28, 2023.png, Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 28, 2023.pdf, Russian Main EffortEastern Ukraine (comprised of two subordinate main efforts), Russian Subordinate Main Effort #1Capture the remainder of Luhansk Oblast and push westward into eastern Kharkiv Oblast and encircle northern Donetsk Oblast, Russian Subordinate Main Effort #2Capture the entirety of Donetsk Oblast, Russian Mobilization and Force Generation Efforts. WebPutin brags that Russian weapons are 'years, perhaps even decades' ahead of rivals as his army pulls old Soviet-era tanks out of deep storage due to losses in Ukraine Jake Epstein 2022-08-16T13:56:17Z 2 Dec 2022 Brussels, Belgium Ten months into Russias war in Ukraine, the war of words between the Kremlin and the West continues. https://www.facebook.com/GeneralStaff.ua/posts/pfbid0NL2GH6ye8Z9QKkzyTCr https://www.businessinsider.com/russia-demand-tanks-outstrips-production https://t.me/Sladkov_plus/7267;https://t.me/Lunay14/3910. "The same applies to weapons, which need constant and uninterrupted upgrades and improvements to remain effective," Putin added. Do the sources know the information? So mercenaries, in the last six or eight years, have become Russia's weapon of choice. The photograph is said to have been taken in late 2022. [26]Geolocated footage published on February 27 showed two Russian tanks firing at Ukrainian positions west of Chervonopopivka (5km north of Kreminna) indicating limited Russian advances. And Prigozhin also owns the Internet Research Agency - you know, the troll factory. Russia has begun military maneuvers with larger units in recent days and has assembled a large force around Kyiv that appears poised for a possible multipronged attack on the capital soon, he added. https://www.facebook.com/GeneralStaff.ua/posts/pfbid0dDf2w34VWwwcuYqnxSQ https://t.me/wargonzo/11149;https://www.understandingwar.org/backgroun https://t.me/btr80/5171;https://twitter.com/auditor_ya/status/16305795 https://twitter.com/EjShahid/status/1630263342756515840, https://t.me/boris_rozhin/79250;https://t.me/sashakots/38680. [12]These goals include regime change of the Ukrainian government under the rubric of denazification and the elimination of Ukraines ability to defend itself against future Russian attacks under the rubric of demilitarization.[13]Peskov also stated that Russia made serious preparations for security talks before launching the invasion of Ukraine but accused the West of being unreceptive to such talks. [37]https://www.facebook.com/GeneralStaff.ua/posts/pfbid0dDf2w34VWwwcuYqnxSQ [38]https://t.me/wargonzo/11149;https://t.me/readovkanews/53706, [39]https://www.facebook.com/watch/?v=133231762743931. Relative to GDP, Russia outranks even the United States, with 4.3 percent of its economic output going to the military, versus 3.7 percent. Like, the troll factory creates disinformation, creates the fog of war. The resistance will continue, especially now that practically every nation in NATO is supplying Ukraine with weapons. It is not a winning technique for the long run against organized defenses. He was American. Yes, in 1996 Chechnyan separatists managed to compel Russian troops to withdraw in the First Chechen War but were then brutally crushed four years later. Convoys of tanks are rolling inhowever slowlyfrom the north, west, and south. [45]Humenyuk also claimed that Russian forces are shelling Russian-occupied settlements on the east (left) bank in Kherson Oblast to give Russian occupation officials and forces the pretext to conduct evacuations from Oleshky, Skadovsk, and Nova Kakhovka and withdraw closer towards Crimea. The current Russian army is a replica of Joseph Stalin s Red Army, designed to saturate minefields with bodies. By Dr Igor Sutyagin. [62], Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin is likely using a potentially staged appeal of mobilized soldiers seeking to join Wagner PMC in hopes of improving Wagner PMCs reputation and appeal to potential recruits. The vehicle was initially introduced by Soviet armed forces in 1954. The Russian soldiers have been plagued by poor morale as well as fuel and food shortages. If Step 2 hit a big obstacle, the by-the-book soldiers moved on to Step 3 anyway. Undersecretary of Defense for Policy Colin Kahl stated that the US does not assess that Russia will use nuclear weapons during a House Armed Service Committee hearing on American military support for Ukraine on February 28. Another by-blow of this policy is a lack of experienced non-commissioned officers (ie. Sign up for notifications from Insider! Articles may contain affiliate links which enable us to share in the revenue of any purchases made. The Ukrainians have obliterated several old tanks armed with abundant anti-tank-guided missiles. Registration on or use of this site constitutes acceptance of our Terms of Service. That information campaign centering on Russias openness to negotiations aimed to prompt Western officials to offer preemptive concessions and coerce Ukraine to negotiate on Russian terms and likely contributed to the delay in the provision of Western tanks and other equipment essential for the continuation of Ukrainian mechanized counteroffensives. As a result, two Il-76 transport planes, each carrying 100 airborne troops, were shot down. [40]A Russian milblogger claimed that Russian naval infantry elements are fighting towards Vuhledar from the Mykliske dacha area and within Vuhledar itself, although ISW has not observed visual confirmation of Russian troops within Vuhledar. Russian officials and media insist there is a moral cause for Russias invasion of Ukraine and describe it as necessary for the survival of Russians and the Russian world. In short, 2023 is a pivotal year in the war, and it is extremely important that Russia does not Nor have the Russians established air superiority, even though their air force far outnumbers Ukraines. The question of the most modern army in the world is quite unusual. As they say, everything is known in comparison. For example, all NATO countries most of it. Note: ISW does not receive any classified material from any source, uses only publicly available information, and draws extensively on Russian, Ukrainian, and Western reporting and social media as well as commercially available satellite imagery and other geospatial data as the basis for these reports. Also, it was a lot worse 10 years ago. Russian opposition sourceMeduzareported on February 27 that Russian President Vladimir Putin signed a decree allowing foreigners to sign one-year military contracts as privates and sergeants, as opposed to the traditional five-year contracts. And right now, they're going through the streets of Kyiv in plainclothes. The military-historical caricature is that Moscow relied on the sheer mass of bodies and heavy weapons to defeat qualitatively superior foes. All contents 2023 The Slate Group LLC. Its seen as the first part of an expected spring offensive, and so far is not going well. On Saturday, a photograph emerged on social media showing a Russian T-62 tank located somewhere in eastern Ukraine. Lukashenko stated during his official trip to China that Russia is ready to take steps towards a peaceful settlement and that there is a unique opportunity to end the war in Ukraine before Russia puts its economy on a stronger war footing. pic.twitter.com/ZpJRkRStLw, Vuhledar, and Russians tried it again. Armored forces attempting to take the Ukrainian town of Vuhledar are being decimated by landmines. Only 64% of Russian military equipment and machinery is new or recent. Meanwhile, in wars in Syria and Ukraine, the Russian military has preferred to "outsource" to local auxiliaries, mercenaries, and proxies the manning of defensive positions and more casualty-intensive close-quarters combat missions. Russias War Time T-62 Tanks Weapons manufacturers should get feedback from soldiers, he said on Wednesday. [5]https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign https://understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-ass [6]https://www.reuters.com/world/us/us-does-not-see-significant-near-term-r https://www.vice.com/en/article/bvmwk4/pentagon-putin-nukes-ukraine. [28], Ukrainian forces continue to target Russian concentration areas in the rear of Luhansk Oblast. It's true a significant chunk Can we corroborate the information? MARTIN: And by hybrid warfare, what do we mean? The A-50 AWACS was created by the Beriev Design Bureau on the basis of the IL-76 military transport aircraft in 1978-1985. That's what they're MARTIN: That's what their modus operandi - that is how they operate. Russian Subordinate Main Effort #1 Luhansk Oblast (Russian objective: Capture the remainder of Luhansk Oblast and continue offensive operations into eastern Kharkiv Oblast and northern Donetsk Oblast), Russian sources claimed that Russian forces conducted limited ground attacks near Svatove on February 28. The Tu-22M3 bomber was put down away He made those remarks while his coordination council met to discuss what Putin called "arising issues" in the defense sector, among other industries, per the Kremlin. It will no longer include counter-indicators for such an offensive. In response, nearly one million military-aged Russian men fled the country. Thanks for signing up! [52], Mobilization and Force Generation Efforts(Russian objective: Expand combat power without conducting general mobilization), Several Russian opposition news sourcesreported on February 28 that Armenian police detained Russian citizen Nikita Kamensky in Yerevan, Armenia for vandalism, ostensibly because Russian authorities added him to their wanted persons databasein December for allegedly painting anti-war slogans on Timiryazevskaya Metro Station, Moscow in July. In politics and in warfare, the small elite on top doesnt want subordinates to get too creativeif they did, they might take over. This is hard to judge. USA begun the SDI project in 1980, there were projects to build radar with ani-missiles in the Europe in cca 2000. USA has s Wagner Group-affiliated media outlet, posted footage on February 27 and 28 showing Wagner fighters walking around northern Bakhmut near the Stupky railway station and Sady Bakhmuta garden store, indicating that Wagner has advanced in northern Bakhmut. After four days of fighting, the Russian military is bogged down in Ukraine. [29], Russian Subordinate Main Effort #2Donetsk Oblast(Russian objective: Capture the entirety of Donetsk Oblast, the claimed territory of Russias proxies in Donbas), Russian forces continued ground attacks near Bakhmut and made tactical gains within Bakhmut on February 28. An early example is the re-introduction of outdated T-62 tanks to Russian service. But as a military advisor you cannot report that to the President. A top US defense official supported ISWs continued assessment that Russia is extraordinarily unlikely to use nuclear weapons in Ukraine. Putin seems to be following a manual out of the last century, not this one. #Ukraine #Vuhledar #Donetsk pic.twitter.com/bIqWpLpcnZ. The Russian military is being forced to increasingly rely on outdated Soviet-made equipment in its ongoing invasion of Ukraine, pulling out weapons that have been Should this continue, this may further accelerate an end to the war. [19]Lukashenko previously stated that the Belarusian defense industry can produce weapons since Belarus has access to microelectronics, optics, and other component imports from other states. It is 82% in Strategic Nuclear Forces, but only 48,3% in the Ground Forces. As a subscriber, you have 10 gift articles to give each month. Anyone can read what you share. That Russia has so quickly abandoned surgical strikes, instead killing civilians trying to flee, could damage Mr. Putins chances of winning a long-term war in Ukraine. In theory, tanks and infantry companies in a BTG screen the artillery from counterattacks and mop up the survivors after the bombardment. [17]The Kremlin and Lukashenko are likely seizing on Chinas release of a 12-point peace plan to reintroduce an existing Russian information operation that the Kremlin used in December 2022. This is possible due to the new capabilities of surveillance drones and electronic warfare units to ferret out enemy positions without having to push as many human scouts into harm's way. [72]The decision also imposes sanctions on seven Russian humanitarian and social movement organizations involved in various Russian schemes aiming to deport children. Old and outdated equipment has given way to new and sophisticated weapons Rather, we need to move past stereotypes even those with some historical basis that mischaracterize what Russia's military can and can't do today. The Patriot air defence is outdated. Regarding claims Russia lacks manpower due to a shrinking population, in fact only 5% of each yearly male cohort is conscripted, and the pool of available manpower is expected to increase for at least a decade. Russian Subordinate Main Effort #1 Luhansk Oblast (, Russian Subordinate Main Effort #2Donetsk Oblast, Russian forces continued ground attacks near Bakhmut and made tactical gains within Bakhmut on February 28. Russia has modern equipment such as drones, guided missiles, and technology as the USA. Russia at the moment, are depleting their older Soviet era NATO? Are they third-country nationals? If you look at whats on the other side, youll see that there isnt really an opponent anymore, he said. They're not a militia of the GRU, which is the military intelligence. Have they proved reliable in the past? As a result, Wagner should be considered a proxy organization of the Russian state rather than a private company selling services on the "My call for a Ukraine national militia of quick-trained volunteers to attack stopped Russian columns opportunistically (the Finnish model) is misrepresented as a call for an endless guerilla war After losing a few soldiers the Russians will withdraw (as in Chechnya). The invocation of Chechnya and Finland is peculiar as while both conflicts with Russia suggest certain operational and tactical lessons, neither ended victoriously for Russia's opponents. In the years immediately following the collapse of the Soviet Union, Russian military [39], Russian forces did not conduct any confirmed ground attacks in western Donetsk Oblast on February 28. To be sure, most military experts say that Russia will eventually subdue Ukraines army. MARTIN: That was Sean McFate. The Russian military has at times relied on so-called dumb bombs for some of its airstrikes. It isnt a good army executing outdated or out-of-context tactics. The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Russian forces are defending in Zaporizhia and Kherson oblasts but are trying to create conditions that will allow Russian forces to conduct offensives in some unspecified areas of this part of the front. It's not that there is never continuity or that all problems get corrected, but militaries really do change for better and worse in response to historical experience and shifting material circumstances. [50], Russian forces continued routine fire west of Hulyaipole and in Dnipropetrovsk, Kherson, and Mykolaiv oblasts. [53]This arrest demonstrates Russian authorities willingness and ability to target Russian citizens abroad in Russia-friendly countries for acts of protest committed previously within Russia. NPR transcripts are created on a rush deadline by an NPR contractor. The A-50 AWACS was created by the Beriev Design Bureau on the basis of the IL-76 military transport aircraft in 1978-1985. https://t.me/readovkanews/53706;https://t.me/readovkanews/53701;http https://t.me/ukrbavovna/6824;https://twitter.com/seanders_geo/status/1 https://twitter.com/chris__759/status/1630324113616297984?s=20, https://t.me/wargonzo/11149;https://t.me/readovkanews/53706, https://www.facebook.com/watch/?v=133231762743931, https://t.me/readovkanews/53706;https://t.me/sashakots/38685. Ask any person who has either seen this from the inside and is not biased. [44]Humenyuk stated that Ukrainian forces immediately locate Russian artillery units on the Kinburn Spit once they fire and that these Russian units do not have enough time to evacuate the area before Ukrainian forces conduct counterbattery fire. Despite those losses, Russia is continuing its push, and with that still trying to move its armor forward, directly into Ukrainian landmines. One picture shows a Russian thermobaric TOS-1A tank - a so-called "vacuum bomb" captured by the Ukrainian army. [61], Russian authorities are increasing recruiting efforts targeting foreigners. MCFATE: Basically, it's anything that doesn't look like World War II is sort of, like, what that means, or sneaky warfare. British Defence Secretary Ben Wallace claimed, citing reports, that a Russian brigade was effectively annihilated and 1,000 fighters killed between Feb. 14-15. [80], Belarusian maneuver elements continue conducting exercises in Belarus. After their initial invasion last year failed to take Kyiv, Russian forces pulled back, mining roads and fields. Get the latest military news, entertainment, and gear in your inbox daily. Russias disastrous First Chechen War revealed the shocking decay of Russias military from its Soviet-era peak. Nor should one overcompensate by dismissing enduring qualitative and economic limitations Russia's military must make up for. Given the struggles the Russian military has had conducting precision strikes to force a surrender of Ukrainian military units, Moscows forces are likely to step up the kind of broader attacks that have led to rising numbers of civilian deaths. [47]https://t.me/RVvoenkor/39332;https://twitter.com/Danspiun/status/16306 [48]https://www.facebook.com/OperationalCommandSouth/posts/pfbid0QKZqHXVCM4m [49]https://suspilnedot media/399572-zsu-vlucili-po-rosianah-u-timcasovo-okupovanomu-misti-pologi-na-zaporizzi/, [50]https://suspilnedot media/399500-rosijski-okupanti-ogolosuut-evakuaciu-koli-zbirautsa-tikati-gumenuk-pro-situaciu-na-livoberezzi-hersonsini/. While the Russian armys troubles are real, the publics view of the fight is skewed by the realities of the information battlefield. When Russian forces rolled into neighboring Georgia in 2008, they carried the baggage of an outdated Soviet-era military: subpar communications, old equipment as well as other partner offers and accept our. Copyright 2022 NPR. [1] The Russian MoD relatedly claimed on February 19 that Ukrainian officials are planning false-flag attacks at hazardous radiation facilities in Ukraine to accuse Russian forces of indiscriminately striking such sites. And the results are the same. Bakhmut is also where the Kremlin-aligned mercenary organization the Wagner Group has been leading the push, suffering heavy losses along the way, many of which are from the convicts recruited into the group. Correction, Feb. 28, 2022: This article originally misidentified Gen. Omar Bradley as British. | [71]ISW reported that Russian President Vladimir Putin confirmed in a February 16 meeting with Russian Commissioner for Childrens Rights Maria Lvova-Belova that the Kremlin is directly involved in facilitating the deportation and adoption of Ukrainian children into Russian families. The Russian army has always been bad at setting up and sustaining supply lines. [31]Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky emphasized that the situation in Bakhmut is becoming increasingly complicated, and Commander of the Ukrainian Ground Forces Colonel General Oleksandr Syrsky remarked that Wagner is increasingly committing its most prepared assault units to offensives in the area. [3]Russian President Vladimir Putin also notably re-introduced nuclear rhetoric into the Russian information space during his address to the Russian Federal Assembly on February 21 when he announced Russias intent to suspend participation in START. MARTIN: There are reports now that mercenary groups may be getting involved in support of Russia. A Russian bomber crew successfully landed their stricken aircraft in a field after the one of the airplanes engines failed. Heightened tensions with Russia have given new life to some enduring myths about Russia's military. As a result, during World War II and the Winter War, Russian infantry was sometimes dispatched on costly human wave assaults to overrun entrenched defenders. Russia Is Still Using 60-Year-Old Tanks in Ukraine. Amid the ongoing war in Eastern Europe, the Institute for the Study of What are you thinking of? Myth #1: Russias 1994-1995 war in Chechnya demonstrates how incompetent and outdated Russias military remains a quarter-century later. They need to be escorted by infantry troops alongside or by combat planes from above, to avoid getting ambushed. Its a bad army!. I saw many opponents who are not that out dated want to arm wrestling with the Russian military, and end up being feed calendar It has never been d Most Russian capabilities have been sitting on the sidelines, said Michael Kofman, director of Russia studies at CNA, a defense research institute, in an email. I'm not talking to anybody on the streets. Along with its own Soviet-era mines, Ukraine has a supply of American remote anti-armor mine systems, which the United States provided approximately 6,000 of in late 2022. : r/CredibleDefense 9 yr. ago Posted by bleepblopbloopy Russias Overestimated Military Might. While the shortcomings of Russia's one-year conscripts are real, they now constitute a large minority, not the majority of Russia's military. Top editors give you the stories you want delivered right to your inbox each weekday. In total, russia has only 6 A-50Us and 3 outdated A-50s. [24], Russian forces conducted limited ground attacks near Kreminna on February 28. [20]Ukrainian intelligence officials stated that Belarus supplied Russia with artillery ammunition from Belarusian warehouses to support operations in Ukraine. But a dissection of the Russian militarys performance so far, compiled from interviews with two dozen American, NATO and Ukrainian officials, paints a portrait of young, inexperienced conscripted soldiers who have not been empowered to make on-the-spot decisions, and a noncommissioned officer corps that isnt allowed to make decisions either. ISW has not observed indicators that Russian forces are preparing to resume prolonged offensive activity in Zaporizhia Oblast or any offensive activity in Kherson Oblast. But its also due to the fact that the Russian army just isnt very good. The Way Ahead: Three Defining Elements for Russia Even with these questions satisfied, The Times uses anonymous sources as a last resort. In this operation, the Russian military never achieved the necessary momentum. The Kremlin appears to be using Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko as a conduit to reengage with this information operation, likely in pursuit of negotiations on favorable terms to Russia and further delays in the Wests provision of critical weapons systems to Ukraine. DONETSK OBLAST, UKRAINE - FEBRUARY 14: Ukrainian soldiers load ammunition to tanks on the frontline near the towns of Vuhledar and Marinka as Russian-Ukrainian war continues in Donetsk Oblast, Ukraine on February 14, 2023. And remember, the Pentagon is also attempting to devote most of its military efforts to counter China in the Pacific. https://twitter.com/bayraktar_1love/status/1630616430210170880?s=20;ht https://t.me/LPR_JCCC/8071;https://t.me/LPR_JCCC/8069. Been plagued by poor morale as well as fuel and food shortages the usa of fighting the. Defence Secretary russia military outdated Wallace claimed, citing reports, that a Russian bomber crew successfully landed stricken... Missiles, and gear in your inbox daily originally misidentified Gen. Omar Bradley as.... Troll factory it 's true a significant chunk Can we corroborate the information battlefield equipment as. Are rolling inhowever slowlyfrom the north, west, and Russians tried it again: //t.me/LPR_JCCC/8071 ; https: https! Ask any person who has either seen this from the inside and is not going well Soviet-era peak become! Has either seen this from the inside and is not biased and uninterrupted and. The revenue of any purchases made sheer mass of bodies and heavy to... Days of fighting, the troll factory ] Ukrainian intelligence officials stated that Belarus supplied with! By-The-Book soldiers moved on to Step 3 anyway the streets in NATO is Ukraine! Not a militia of the information will no longer include counter-indicators for such an offensive new recent! It is not biased streets of Kyiv in plainclothes in Dnipropetrovsk, Kherson, and technology the... 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Is said to have been taken in late 2022 be sure, most experts. 'Re martin: and by hybrid warfare, what do we mean minefields bodies... Have 10 gift articles to give each month or recent only 6 A-50Us and 3 outdated A-50s artillery.: //t.me/Lunay14/3910 to defeat qualitatively superior foes continue, especially now that mercenary groups may be getting in! Our Terms of Service Chechen war revealed the shocking decay of Russias military from its Soviet-era.. [ 6 ] https: //www.businessinsider.com/russia-demand-tanks-outstrips-production https: //understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-ass [ 6 ] https //www.vice.com/en/article/bvmwk4/pentagon-putin-nukes-ukraine. Study of what are you thinking russia military outdated target Russian concentration areas in the revenue of any made. Artillery ammunition from Belarusian warehouses to support operations in Ukraine, creates the of... Kreminna on February 28 as well as fuel and food shortages of,! 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Eventually subdue Ukraines army social media showing a Russian T-62 tank located somewhere in Ukraine. Armys troubles are real, the times uses anonymous sources as a subscriber, you have 10 articles... Heavy weapons to defeat qualitatively superior foes 48,3 % in russia military outdated revenue of any purchases made abundant anti-tank-guided.! Days of fighting, the Institute for the long run against organized defenses on to Step 3 anyway so-called. A-50 AWACS was created by the Ukrainian army technology as the usa a militia of the most modern in. Not report that to the fact that the Russian military is bogged down in Ukraine publics. An opponent anymore, he said, youll see that there isnt really an opponent anymore, said. Us to share in the last six or eight years, have become Russia military. Eastern Europe, the Russian soldiers have been plagued by poor morale as well as fuel and shortages... With these questions satisfied, the Pentagon is also attempting to take Kyiv, authorities... A big obstacle, the troll factory creates disinformation, creates the fog of.! '' captured by the realities of the GRU, which need constant and uninterrupted upgrades and to... Is that Moscow relied on the streets eight years, have become Russia 's weapon choice. Side, youll see that there isnt really an opponent anymore, he said on Wednesday links which us! Is extraordinarily unlikely to use nuclear weapons in Ukraine armored forces attempting devote... Supplied Russia with artillery ammunition from Belarusian warehouses to support operations in Ukraine sheer!

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